The US: “A Syrian scenario in Ukraine: thousands of deaths, it will be a massacre”

The US State Department predicts a catastrophic scenario after Putin’s invasion: “We fear a frightening wave of refugees”

WASHINGTON – The US State Department – after the invasion of Ukraine by Russia – foresees a “Syrian scenario” for Ukraine.

Deputy Minister Wendy Sherman sees approaching “A massacre”: “There will be thousands of deaths on both sides” he said Wednesday, February 23, in an interview with Cnn.

At the same time there is fear a frightening wave of refugees. Here the estimates fluctuate. The American Ambassador to the UN, Linda Thomas-Greenfeld, in an interview with Courier service
, spoke of 5 million people “who will be left homeless”. Defense Secretary Llyod Austin from Warsaw was more cautious: “hundreds of thousands on the run.”

The point, however, is understand if the West is gearing up.

The most exposed country is the Poland, which shares not only a long stretch of border with Ukraine, but also intense and consolidated social and family relations. They will find themselves at the forefront as well Slovakia, Hungary And Romania.

How are they preparing?

For now, it turns out that only the Poles are actually doing something, with the help of American soldiers who have just landed from Fort Bragg, North Carolina.

The European countries, therefore, seem to be lagging behind.

The debate is focusing on sanctions to apply to Russia. Or on possible repercussions for the economy, with increases in the price of gas, oil, wheat and other raw materials. All understandable, of course. Yet humanitarian organizations are already on full alert and the European Commissioner for Immigration, Ylva Johansson, has also urged governments to focus on emergency plans. In a matter of days, we could move on to the next stage. On the maps we will have to mark, beyond the war fronts, the paths of the caravans of displaced persons in search of shelter.

The first line looks very fragile. Hungary is led by Viktor Orbán, a great builder of walls and fences. The Polish government itself certainly does not shine with welcoming policies. There Romania it is a state already in great difficulty. There Slovakia it certainly does not have the adequate facilities to receive masses of refugees. It will be up to the big countries to intervene: Germanyfirst of all, then France And Italy.

Even the United States will be called into question. Joe Biden wished to avoid any direct military confrontation with Russia at all costs. But he will hardly be able to escape in the face of a humanitarian emergency. Of course, it is always to be hoped that such bleak prospects turn out to be wrong. At the same time, however, it is also prudent to anticipate the times and not pursue another catastrophe, right now that the Old Continent is overcoming the pandemic.

In 2015-2016, the European Union paid around 3 billion euros to Turkey to host 4-5 million Syrian refugees. This time the problem cannot be downloaded externally.

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